Tuesday, September 12, 2023

Michigan 35, UNLV 7: To Avoid the Rush, or Not to Avoid the Rush

The Michigan Wolverines are primarily a running team. The Michigan Wolverines are primarily a running team. The Michigan Wolverines are primarily a running team. The Michigan Wolverines are primarily a running team. The Michigan Wolverines are primarily a running team.

"It's not a lie, if you believe it." -George Castanza

"Being able to run the ball when the other team knows you're going to run the ball. That's what I really respect about (this) team." -Jim Harbaugh, July 2023

"The coach doth protest too much, methinks." -Queen Gertrude from Shakespeare's Hamlet, modified by this author

A potential crisis is rearing its ugly head in the state of Michigan.

I'm not talking about the dumpster fire in East Lansing. The one where Michigan State University, still efforting to overcome the largest sexual abuse scandal in modern college athletics history while separating itself from the more recent gang assaults of two Wolverine players after the Spartans' humiliating 29-7 defeat last season, just suspended the coach they desperately signed to a $95-million contract for allegedly sexually harrasing the sexual abuse survivor he hired to speak to his team about sexual harrassment, and temporarily replaced him with his predecessor who resigned abruptly amid allegations of NCAA violations, specifically the cover-up of multiple sexual assault charges among players on his team. (I can't believe none of that was made up. Just wow.)

I'm not talking about the current crisis with Michigan's head coach either. The combination of returning productivity, overmatched opponents and a #2 national ranking has turned September into a walkthrough for this team. An AI application.

I'm talking about the belief that the key to success for this Wolverine football team is its rushing attack.

You know, the real crisis.

Michigan came into the 2023 season with arguably the country's best backfield duo. No, wait. There was no argument. This is the country's best backfield duo. Blake Corum (who happens to be this week's Sports Illustrated cover boy) and Donovan Edwards (who's still running from one end of Ohio Stadium to the other untouched) are as destined for Sunday careers as a Catholic priest. The offensive line, while losing its only Outland Trophy winner at center, still has no less than two future NFL starters and is expected to make a run for its third straight Joe Moore Award (no school had ever won two straight).

So why, so far this young season, has this attack been so easy for schools like East Carolina and UNLV to neutralize?

Witness Saturday's impressive working over of the Rebels. At the half Michigan was dominant, with a 280-40 total yards edge. But only 92 of those yards were gained on the ground, on 19 rushes no less. For the game, the Wolverines gained a meager 179 yards on 33 tries. Meager considering the competition, paltry compared to the previous season. Michigan gained 201 more yards over the first two games of 2022, and needed just 9 carries to get there. Against two middle-tier Group of 5 teams, this run-happy squad has amassed a grand total of 301 yards. The sledding won't get any easier in the colder months with the B1G schedule awaiting them.

Fortunately, for anyone with two eyes and a healthy imagination, offensive efficiency isn't a problem at Michigan. It comes by the name of JJ McCarthy.

Michigan's feel-good story of the year so far, McCarthy effortlessly completed 22 of 25 passes for 278 yards and two touchdowns. In two games, he's 48 for 55 for 558 yards and five scores––all to his new #1 target, literally, Roman Wilson. McCarthy is fourth nationally in passing efficiency and leads the FBS in completion percentage. In fact, only two quarterbacks this century with at least 50 attempts through the first two games of a season have completed a higher percentage of their passes.

No other school would consider this a paradox. But no other school is the University of Michigan.

Instead of being happy exploiting any defense that tried to take away one element of its multi-dimentional offense, the Wolverines are frustrated. Instead of willfully using the pass to open up the run just as they've used the run to open up the pass, the Wolverines are unsatisfied. As Harbaugh himself stated, as Bo stated before him, there's no better joy than running through a team that's committed itself to stopping the run at all costs.

Wasn't last November's win in Columbus satisfying enough? McCarthy made Ryan Day and his DC Jim Knowles pay for the gamble they made to fill the box and deny the run, by throwing over them time and time again. To the point that the Buckeyes were paper thin and helpless to stop the two quick bursts by Edwards that sealed their fate. You wouldn't have had those runs without the wide-open passes. One helped the other, and both helped the maize and blue that day.

That should be the model, right? So why can't this coaching staff embrace this? It's the baseball equivalent of a team moving its entire infield to one side of the diamond, leaving half the infield wide open, just daring the pull hitter to hit opposite field. And the guy keeps hitting it on a rope, right into the crowd for the easy out.

But nothing could prevent an easy win on this sunny and shiny afternoon. An afternoon that was also historic, because for the first time in its 144-year history, a black head coach walked the Michigan sideline for the first time. Mike Hart, the school's leading rusher, became the first African American to coach and win a football game for the University of Michigan.

Still, the results, while not as lopsided as the previous year, have been just as one-sided. The offense has many weapons and the defense is suffocatingly effective, evidenced by Michigan's starters outscoring their opponents 65-0 through three quarters.

And you just know, heading into their final non-conference matchup with Bowling Green before a homecoming matchup with Rutgers starts the conference season, that despite McCarthy seemingly on his way to a season not seen in Ann Arbor since his coach led the nation in passing efficiency in 1985, the Wolverines will continue to be a run-first team.

"When someone shows you who they are, believe them the first time." -Maya Angelou

Wednesday, September 6, 2023

Week 1: Good4 U vs Sux2B U

Each week I'm calling out the good and the bad of the previous college weekend. The universities that are enjoying the best of times, and the ones who, well, wouldn't mind a reset. Plus other people who are loving life, and those who would love to not be in the place they find themselves in. Did you throw the winning touchdown pass? Good4 U! Did you fumble the ball on the 1 because you started your touchdown dance too early? Sux2B U!


Good4 U!

The Pac-12 Conference: So far this season they're 13-0. Now that's a conference that doesn't get dismembered without a fight.

Manufacturers of Colorado Buffaloes gear: Orders for the white hat and hoodie worn by coach Deion Sanders have spiked since the Buffs took down last year's national finalists from TCU. And it won't be long before people learn where to get the shades.

The Duke Blue Devils: Outscored Clemson 22-0 in the second half for a 28-7 at Cameron Outdoor Center. Looks like they're a football school now.

Dudes named Travis: Colorado's do-everything player Travis Hunter was on the field for nearly 120 snaps on both sides of the ball, in the Texas heat, and ended the game with 111 yards receiving and a key interception. He's already the early Heisman fave... along with Florida State QB Jordan Travis, who had a second half kids only dream about against LSU. FSU's Travis brought the Noles back from a 17-13 halftime hole by outscoring the Tigers 31-7 on the way to a 45-24 rout. On the night he was 23-for-31 for 342 yards and 4 TDs. Shabby they are not.

D.J. Uiagalelei: I knew it—it wasn't your fault after all!


Sux2B U!

The state of South Carolina: Clemson and South Carolina Gamecock fans just had their season's fates redirected on the first weekend of September. It's gonna be a long road, and it's hurricane season to boot.

Grambling State, Youngstown State, Nicholls State & Charleston Southern: These poor FCS schools have the misfortune to be on the schedules of LSU, Ohio State, TCU and Clemson the week after weeks where they all should have played better. And better they'll play. As you're getting pantsed at the opening coin toss, just think of all the money you're bringing to your athletic programs.

Portland State: Oregon scored again! Just kidding. You need a week of rest. Unfortunately, you play a Wyoming team that thinks they're world beaters after their upset of Texas Tech.

Sunday, September 3, 2023

Michigan 30, ECU 3: Cheeseburgers in Paradise

When there's nothing to overcome but yourself, why not make yourself the thing to overcome?

The Michigan Wolverines entered their 144th campaign with everything going its way. Two-time defending Big Ten football champs, two convincing victories over the once-dominant Buckeyes of Ohio State, two straight berths in the College Football Playoff, over 80% of its production returning from 2022, and a shiny new #2 ranking to start the season. It's like everything was going their way. What kind of motivation is that?

One adversity special coming up. And please, if it's not too late, make it a cheeseburger.

More specifically, the cheeseburger coach Jim Harbaugh bought a young recruit in 2020, in violation of the NCAA's COVID-era protocols. One of a handful of rules violations, mostly minor yet enough to warrant the attention of the NCAA Infractions Committee. Harbaugh, who had negotiated a four-game suspension with the NCAA a month ago, had his penalty rescinded so the committee could keep the investigation open till the off-season.

So in a pro-active move last week, the university reinstated the suspension for Harbaugh—well, three games of it, plus one for offensive coordinator Sherrone Moore. Just what the doctor ordered. You want fries with that, doc?

"Free Harbaugh" shirts popped up everywhere. Quarterback JJ McCarthy wore one during meetings with the press. Harbaugh and Moore were still able to coach during the week, just not on the day of the game. But that didn't matter. It was Michigan vs Everybody all over again. The team wouldn't have it any other way.

So the Wolverines took the field, self-imposed barrier in place, and before the first play of their second offensive possession, they acknowledged their fallen coach (fallen as in, Harbaugh "fallen" into a leather couch at Moore's house to watch the game on Peacock). The team set up in the "I"-est of all "I"-formations, with all 11 players lined up behind each other. A previously-used Harbaugh gimmick. Except this time, the players raised their left arms and pointed four fingerst toward the sky in deference to their coach, the former #4 who as quarterback led the Wolverines to a B1G championship of his own in 1986.

Then, they proceeded to enforce their will against an outgunned opponent.

Let's be clear, however. The East Carolina Pirates were hardly the cupcake everyone wanted you to believe. An 8-win team from the American Athletic Conference (the only non-Power 5 conference to land a team in the CFP), ECU started off 2022 by taking the nation's #13 team (North Carolina State) to the final minute on the road, scoring the would-be tying TD before going for two and the win and falling short. They ended 2022 by bludgeoning the season's Cinderella team, Coastal Carolina, 53-29, in the Birmingham Bowl. And that AAC team from Cincinnati who made it to the CFP in 2021? ECU lost to them on a late field goal, 27-25.

But on this sunny and steamy afternoon, they were facing Michigan, a team with a friendly-fire-sized chip on its shoulder. An early interception by lockdown corner Mike Sainristill started the Wolverines' first scoring drive, which triggered a string of five straight scoring possessions. Roman Wilson, who surrendered his #14 jersey for the privilege of wearing the coveted "1", did Anthony Carter's old number justice by catching three of the four touchdowns during that stretch, on a 6-for-78-yard day.

East Carolina coach Mike Houston followed the lead of Ohio State DC Jim Knowles last November and committed his defense to stopping the run. A worthy approach, given the preseason hype generated by the nation's best backfield duo, Blake Corum (who, despite a season-ending knee injury, still finished 7th in Heisman voting) and Donovan Edwards, who will forever be known for his two untouched, field-length touchdown runs that destroyed Knowles' gameplan and dismantled the Buckeyes. But as Michigan did in Columbus last Thanksgiving, they did again on Saturday. McCarthy sliced his way through the formidable Pirate defense, completing 26 of 30 passes for 280 yards and the three TD passes to Wilson.

Even still, Corum managed 7.3 yards per run. He only carried the rock a Harbaugh-twitching 10 times in a game where the offense was split precisely in half—31 rushing plays, 31 passing plays. The 50/50 offense running backs coach Mike Hart says the team strives to achieve. Yet somehow, that jam-it-down-your-throat-and-you-can't-stop-it authority was missing. And everyone in the building (and two coaches watching at home) knew it. But that'll have to wait for the next opponent.

On this day, Michigan rolled up over 400 yards of passs-happy offense, holding the Pirates to 126 until their final two meaningless drives of the day. In fact, the game should have been a shutout were it not for coach Houston trotting out his field goal unit with 0:01 to play in the game for a 33-yarder.

Actually, the rightful score of this game should have been 38-0 (the Vegas line), were it not for the missed PAT after McCarthy's third TD by kicker James Turner—a Saline native who transferred from Louisville—and an ECU fourth-quarter, goal-line stand punctuated by McCarthy's fumble at the Pirates' 1-yard line on fourth down (I'd say uncharacteristic were it not a carbon copy of the play that Michigan fumbled the ball away at the TCU 1 the last time this team took the field).

But 30-3 they'll take. An injury-free effort, with defensive coordinator Jessee Minter and of all people, Harbaugh's father Jack (who coached under Bo in the 1970s) covering for the missing offensive play-callers. A well-oiled-machine of a team on autopilot, cruising along on cruise control and able to counter any strategy drawn up against it.

After the game, Harbaugh said he and Moore were admittedly impressed by his team's performance as they ate sandwiches and watched from the paradise of Moore's living room. Given their predicament, on a week that saw the passing of the immortal Jimmy Buffet, something tells me cheeseburgers were on the menu.

[words & pics by me]